Thursday 19 March 2015

MUMBAI WORKING ODDS THURSDAY 19 MAR 2015

Hello guys 

My working on probable opening odds as per the horse value per race ( the percentage of its winning chances converted into the value it can fetch ) keep an eye on horses who show some movement  , betting and odds  pattern in western INDIA is different from other centres , cannot judge and bet the same way like other , many times it is seen in betting ring after every short interval a new horse is betted in a particular race , odds drift up and down of a particular horse meaning it is betted and eated too !! punters actually get confused who the hell is on JOB ?? to some extent working odds help to identify false fav , if working odds shows EVEN money but the horse opens above 2 , can be left out for a win ,similarly if working odds shows 2.5 , 3  and the horse opens up EVEN or ON money fav directly at race time , should be avoided for a win , 90% are false fav and fail to win , if no working odds are available but the horse opens up in range of below 8 - 10 , should be seriously considered , most of them place for sure , below half money FAV lose rarely but  FAV losing a race is high in range of 60/100 - 90/100 , hope it helps the readers


RACE NO 1 -- THE ROMAN ROSE PLATE 1000 Mts 2.45 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 01-26. (Class-V) 5 years old and over

1. MOUNTAIN WARRIOR           -- 7/1
2. SPEED BABY                         -- 14/10
3. MIRACLE OF MERCY            -- 16/10
8. ZAFIRAH                               -- 4.5

BET -- 7 ZARAR place 




RACE NO 2 -- THE R R KOMANDUR PLATE Div. II 1400 Mts 3.15 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 40-66. (Class-III) 5 years old and over

1. HUNT FOR HEADS                -- 4/1
2. AS GOOD AS GOLD                -- 5.5
3. FLASH DRIVE                         -- 5.5
4. GLORIOUS REWARD               -- 90/100
6. RUBENS                                   -- 6/1

BET -- FLASH DRIVE place 




RACE NO 3 -- THE A CAMPBELL TROPHY 1600 Mts 3.45 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 60-86. (Class-II) (40 to 59 eligible )

1. JACK FROST                         -- 60/100
3. WENTWORTH                       -- 2.5
4. FORTUNE FAVOURS            -- 3.5

BET -- JACK FROST win 




RACE NO 4 -- THE SAMUEL NATHAN PLATE 2000 Mts 4.15 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 01-26. (Class-V)
1. SMOKIE                                      -- 5.5

2. WORD OF HONOUR                   -- EVEN
4. SPONTANEOUS EDDIE              -- 3.25
7. SKY LANTERN                           -- 7/1
10. ARZAAN                                   -- 4.5

BET -- 4. SPONTANEOUS EDDIE win




RACE NO 5 -- THE ASSERT THE RIGHT PLATE 1400 Mts 4.45 P.M

For Maiden Indian Horses 3 years old only. Foreign Jockeys Eligible

2. B FIFTY TWO            -- 16/10
4. THE MESSIAH          -- 5/1
7. CONFIANCE             -- 18/10
8. VITESSE                   -- 4/1

BET -- 7 . CONFIANCE win




RACE NO 6  -- THE RAZA ALI PLATE Div. II 1200 Mts 5.15 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 20-46. (Class-IV) 4 years old only, Foreign Jockeys Eligible

1. SCHIEHAILLON                      -- 3.5
2. MILLENIUM FALCON             -- 3.25
3. ACT OF VALOUR                    -- 3.25
6. PRESIDENT                            -- 6/1
7. ZAMBIAN                                -- 2.25

SCHIEHAILLON  looks like a case of false fav , ZAMBIAN not on job , MILLENIUM FALCON is from a unreliable stable when fancied runs like a dud , S K SUNDERJI has is jockey back in saddle , no track work but continuous pool activity noticed , 

BET -- IRON HORSE BET OF THE DAY -- ACT OF VALOUR win 
           



RACE NO 7 -- THE R R KOMANDUR PLATE Div. I 1400 Mts 5.45 P.M

A Handicap for Horses Rated 40-66. (Class-III) 5 years old and over

3. LA TRAVIATA                         -- 16/10
6. HAIL THE KING                      -- EVEN 
7. STORMY PRINCESS                -- 7/1
9. NATALIAN EXPRESS              -- 4/1

BET --  LA TRAVIATA win 



RACE NO 8 -- THE RAZA ALI PLATE Div. I 1200 Mts 6.15 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 20-46. (Class-IV) 4 years old only, Foreign Jockeys Eligible

1. LUCKY CHARM                 -- 3.25
2. ARIZONA SUN                   -- 18/10
5. DESERT RAGE                  -- 2/1

BET -- ARIZONA SUN win 



BEST OF LUCK AND GOD BLESS US ALL 

No comments:

Post a Comment