Friday, 5 December 2014

BANGALORE WORKING ODDS FRIDAY 05 DEC 2014

Hello guys 

My working on probable opening odds as per the horse value per race ( the percentage of its winning chances converted into the value it can fetch ) 


RACE NO 1 -- THE DHARWAR PLATE Div. II 1200 Mts 1.45 P.M

A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 45 (Class-IV)

1. VENCEDORA -- 3.25
3. INTERACTIVE -- 3.75
7. SECRET LAUNCH -- 7/1
8. CROZIET -- 6/1
9. SPEEDSTRESS -- 60/100

Two strong contenders in here SPEEDSTRESS and VENCEDORA are in negative and not supported in the ring as of now , SECRET LAUNCH has been pushed hard , if odds below 4/1 at  race time is  worth a chance bet , FRUIT PRINCE is another entry in here who i feel should run a bold race and is my PLACE choice 

BET -- FRUIT PRINCE PLACE 



RACE NO 2 -- THE PLANETARIUM PLATE 1200 Mts 2.15 P.M

A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 00 to 25 (Class-V) 4 years old and over (Whips not allowed)

2. BELLA PINKY -- 4/1
3. TRADITION -- 18/10
6. FASHION FLAME -- 3/1
8. SILHOUETTE --  7/1
9. DISTINCTIVE -- 6/1

SILHOUETTE is the only one in here who is showing some positive movement , jockeys not allowed to use whip , horse position and timing of jockey will be the deciding factor , INSPIRATOR has always been considered , if tried he can 

BET -- SILHOUETTE each way 


RACE NO 3 -- THE DHARWAR PLATE Div. I 1200 Mts 2.45 P.M

A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 45 (Class-IV)

1. SAIRANI -- 2.75
3. RARE AND GORGEOUS -- 3.25
7. MIRACLES OF LIFE -- 50/100

RARE AND GORGEOUS has been completely ignored in the ring , MIRACLES OF LIFE is in contention but not getting proper support , SAIRANI is the one who is showing sign of a gamble , 

BET -- MIRACLES OF LIFE 


RACE NO 4 -- THE ANTARAGANGE PLATE 1400 Mts 3.15 P.M

A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 45 (Class-IV) 5 years old and over

2. SPANISH FLY -- 50/100
4. FORTUNATE ONE -- 5.5
5. SOMERSET ROSE -- 5
9. ICE KINGDOM -- 8/1
11. HILLTON -- 2.75

looks like BANGALORE has only two jockeys who should be ready made first or second fav in each and every race they run in !! and all others on track work , opening odds are really confusing , i doubt the same odds will be visible at race time , please check at race time , ICE KINGDOM if below 5/1 worth a chance 

BET -- ICE KINGDOM 


RACE NO 5 -- THE KALINADI PLATE 1600 Mts 3.45 P.M

A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40 to 65 (Class-III)

2. CZAR RULE -- 2/1
3. CONNEMARA -- 60/100
7. STAR OF DESTINY -- 4/1
8. BAZINGA -- 5.5

CZAR RULE has been ignored completely , CONNEMARA is in contention but not supported , STAR OF DESTINY has got huge amount riding on him 

BET - STAR OF DESTINY 


RACE NO 6 -- THE KEMPEGOWDA CUP 1200 Mts 4.15 P.M

A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 60 and above. (Class-II) 4 years old and over


2. ROYAL SALUTE -- 8/1
9. VALERIAN -- 2.75
10. AUSTIN -- 50/100
11. KING JULIEN -- 3.75

VALERIAN and KING JULIEN are not showing proper movement to be backed , AUSTIN is in low odds , risk bet , in this open race ATHLETIC STAR will try hard to sneak in for place at longer odds 

BET -- ATHLETIC STAR place 


RACE NO 7 -- THE T.B.HANUMANTHARAJ MEMORIAL CUP 1400 Mts 4.45 P.M

A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40 to 65 (Class-III) 4 years old and over

1. IGAH IGAH IGAH -- 4.5
2. MIDNIGHT CRUZE -- 5.5
3. BEAUTY IS TRUTH -- 3/1
4. STIMULATE -- 5/1
5. ACE LEXINGTON -- 90/100 

race after race the same story is repeated for the jockey , pathetic , what to bet and how to analyze ?? 
will take a chance on failed fav and change in jockey ASSIDUOUS 

BET -- ASSIDUOUS each way 


RACE NO 8 -- THE KENTUCKY PLATE 1200 Mts 5.15 P.M 

For Maiden Indian Horses 3 years old only

2. HENDRIX -- 6/1
4. OUR LITTLE DRAGON -- 80/100
7. ZULFIQAR -- 3.75
10. FLAME OF PASSION  -- 2/1

LITTLE BROWN JUG  steel to A , worst jockey on board , has opened in odds ?? , OUR LITTLE DRAGON place also looks doubtful , ZULFIQAR last run was good , can place again , HENDRIX and FLAMES OF PASSION are the two backed in , HENDRIX is preferred more over latter , 

BET  -- HENDRIX
 
https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100007260555630

not an idle day as per betting perspective , also the opening odds available are confusing , are they to out to help or mislead the readers ?? decide when u see odds at race time 


BEST OF LUCK AND GOD BLESS US ALL 

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