Sunday 5 April 2015

MUMBAI SUNDAY WORKING ODDS 05 APL 2015

Hello guys 

My working on probable opening odds as per the horse value per race ( the percentage of its winning chances converted into the value it can fetch )

Keep an eye on horses which show movements in odds at actual betting time , odds given in here are approx value a horse should fetch



RACE NO 1 -- THE OSMAN CHOTANI PLATE 1600 Mts 3.00 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 01-26. (Class-V)

1. HOT PEPPER               -- 18/10
2. SAVAGE GARDEN        -- 3.25
3. THE OTHER SONG      -- 4.5
8. GLORIOUS REGIME     -- 3.25

10. STARRIANO can place / upset in this race framed for the bottom of the class 



RACE NO 2 -- THE ADLER DOUBLE STAKES 1600 Mts 3.30 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 20-46. (Class-IV) (0 to 19 eligible)

1. BETHPAGE          -- 6/1
2. TOOFAN              -- 3.75
6. DAISHONIN          -- 3.5
7. THE UNICORN     -- 12/10
9. REPLICA               -- 5.5

BETHPAGE has change in distance and jockey , beaten fav in its last race , TOOFAN improving with its each race ran , now entrusted to top jockey of the centre , has been tracked by him , DHANYAVAAD has been hooked many times , can surprise any day ,  SHERONNA winner of same class , same distance with same jockey , has not been penalized hard , can defy and put another winning performance , DAISHONIN cannot be trusted because of its in and out running , tracks are good , THE UNICORN flopped as fav in its last race , change in saddle , 200 mts more to travel , tracked , all positive signs ? well i doubt that ! REPLICA is a repair case , she broke a vessel in winter and its summer now , long lay off , will need this run 

2 . TOOFAN  each way 




RACE NO 3 -- THE KARL UMRIGAR TROPHY 1400 Mts 4.00 P.M
For Maiden Indian Horses 3 years old only

1. CONTINENTAL                  -- 3.5
3. REMEMBER THE TIME      -- 8/1
4. SHADOWFAX                      -- 4/1
5. AVANT GARDE                   -- 4/1
10. VELVET AMARI                -- 16/10

CONTINENTAL is a got abroad and should run a bold race also this trophy has sentimental values attached to it with this trainer , SHADOW FAX stumbled on its own soon after the start , was for an outing in its last race , tracks are impressive , AVANT GARDE has saddle support which cannot be trusted , VELVET AMARI  has best hand available , tracks are very good but the sire has not been able to be upto its mark 

SHADOW FAX each way 




RACE NO 4 -- THE BAHRAIN TROPHY 1000 Mts 4.30 P.M
For Horses 3 years old only

1. BLITZKRIEG                    -- 7/1
2. CALISSA                           --  7/1
3. GABRIELLA                      -- 60/100
4. HIDDEN SOUL                  -- 7/1
5. POLISHED CHROME        -- 2/1

POLISHED CHROME





RACE NO 5 --  THE FOREST FANTASY DOUBLE STAKES 2000 Mts 5.00 P.M

A Handicap for Horses Rated 60-86. (Class-II) (40 to 59 eligible) Foreign Jockeys Eligible

2. GRENADINE         -- 3.5
4. ACE FANTASY     -- 2.25
5. ELLIPSIS             -- 60/100

GRENADINE



RACE NO 6 -- 
THE RAJCOOMAR GUJADHUR MEMORIAL TROPHY
1400 Mts 5.30 P.M / A Handicap for Horses Rated 40-66. (Class-III)
Foreign Jockeys Eligible

3. HAIL THE KING    -- 7/1
7. HELPING HAND   -- 5/1
9. RAMESSES            -- 60/100
11. AN JOLIE             -- 2.75


RAMESSES


RACE NO 7 -- THE AHMED I RAHIMTOOLA TROPHY 1000 Mts 6.00 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 40-66. (Class-III)

4. EL WONDER                    -- 2/1
5. MOUNTAIN SONG           -- 8/1
6. PITBULL                         -- 6/1
7. UMARKOT                       -- 6/1
9. CHASE THE ACE             -- 3.25
12. SOOTHSAYER                -- 3/1


SOOTHSAYER 



BEST OF LUCK AND GOD BLESS US ALL 

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