Hello guys
My working on probable opening odds as per the horse value per race ( the percentage of its winning chances converted into the value it can fetch )
Keep an eye on horses which show movements in odds at actual betting time , odds given in here are approx value a horse should fetch , points to remember :
A : horses which are not in odds in here but open up in odds at betting time get PLACED for sure ,
B : horses which show double the difference in odds should be considered accordingly , suppose odds shown for horse A in here is EVEN money but opens up 2/1 or above will not WIN for sure , if odds shown in here for horse A is 2/1 or above but opens EVEN money or less is SURE winner
C : odds for horse A is shown EVEN money , opens up EVEN money , no movement , is stable , look for second horse , if shows same thing , look for third horse , believe me you may find some interesting thing to BANG ON , in such scenario go for PLACE , as third horse will be at least EVEN money for place
D : The most important GOLDEN RULE - out of the gates the very next movement you encash your first ticket , DO NOT CHASE !!!
RACE NO 1 -- THE GENERAL ANDERS PLATE Div. II 1000 Mts 2.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 46.(Class IV)
2. QUEENS TOUCH -- 6/1
3. SHE’S SWEET -- 5.5
6. CHINGLISH -- 18/10
7. SUN FLAG -- 4.5
9. INVISIBLE BREATHE -- 6/1
10. GOTHENBERG -- 3/1
Comments -- QUEENS TOUCH ran good in its last race , now entrusted to work jockey , no track work noticed , intentions are negative but if reproduces like what he ran in last race can fluke it even in this dud hands , SHE'S SWEET runs in and out , moving nicely on track with the same jockey , CHINGLISH ran a good race to finish close 4th in the hands of a work jockey , now entrusted to stable jockey , no track work noticed , should be the one to be beaten , SUN FLAG can now look to improve further after its last victory with the same jockey , is moving nicely on the track , INVISIBLE BREATHE lost as hot fav in its last race where she broke a blood vessel , tracking easy , will be a herculean task for her to win in this company , GOTHENBERG is getting good saddle support , is beating class iii animal on track , at bottom of the scales cam make them all run ,
BET -- close call between ( CHINGLISH / GOTHENBERG , latter is my preferred one )
RACE NO 2 -- THE FRENCH SUITOR PLATE 1600 Mts 3.15 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 1 to 26. (Class V)
1. MY SOUL -- 90/100
4. KALA GHORA -- 4/1
6. BLACK LEON -- 8/1
7. FIRE ON ICE -- 3.5
8. SADAJIT -- 6/1
Comments -- MY SOUL has been brought down a lot , entrusted to better jockey , tracks are not so good , at low odds can be a risky bet , KALA GHORA should strike soon , tracking good with the same jockey , Trainer could have opted for a better hand ? FIRE ON ICE showed some fire in its last race ran for the distance first time with the same jockey who is riding today , finished close second , tracking impressively with him , SADAJIT gets a work jockey now after its dismissal run in last race , intentions are negative , ALL WEATHER GOLD ran good to finish second to too good MISTER BEST , no track work noticed , rider repeated , can place at longer odds
BET - FIRE ON ICE
RACE NO 3 -- THE GENTLE SPY PLATE 1400 Mts 3.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40 to 66.(Class III)
1. LIKE MY CHILD -- 3.25
2. BLUE STEEL -- 5/1
3. SHARPSHOCK -- 5.5
4. THE MAFIA -- 16/10
9. FLORI DE CAMA -- 3.5
Comments -- LIKE MY CHILD going in for a hattrick for the same distance , has won races warding off and will look to improve further , has been penalized heavily , can she defy the penalty and give another rousing performance , is on track , SHARPSHOCK runs in and out , cannot be trusted , THE MAFIA just managed to win its last run , now promoted to class iii , tracking easy , rider repeated , keep an eye on odds , if on job will be backed by this betting stable
BET -- THE MAFIA
RACE NO 4 -- THE A.B.STUD FILLIES TRIAL STAKES 1400 Mts 4.15 P.M
For Indian Fillies 3 years old only (Foaled in 2012)
3. BRAMHAPUTRI -- 50/100
4. LADY -- 18/10
5. SEA CLIFF -- 6/1
7. WHIFF OF GOLD -- 7/1
BET -- LADY
RACE NO 5 -- THE ROYAL CALCUTTA TURF CLUB CUP 1000 Mts 4.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 80 & above.(Class I)
3. FOREST RANGER -- 4.5
4. ORBIT -- 16/10
5. NURAY -- 2/1
7. MINI COOPER -- 7/1
8. MALE SUPERIOR -- 5.5
BET -- ORBIT
RACE NO 6 -- THE GENERAL ANDERS PLATE Div. I 1000 Mts 5.15 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 46.(Class IV)
3. CASINO QUEEN -- 4.5
10. LIONHEARTED LADY -- 12/10
11. SWEET GIRL -- 2.5
BET -- SWEET GIRL
BEST OF LUCK AND GOD BLESS US ALL
My working on probable opening odds as per the horse value per race ( the percentage of its winning chances converted into the value it can fetch )
Keep an eye on horses which show movements in odds at actual betting time , odds given in here are approx value a horse should fetch , points to remember :
A : horses which are not in odds in here but open up in odds at betting time get PLACED for sure ,
B : horses which show double the difference in odds should be considered accordingly , suppose odds shown for horse A in here is EVEN money but opens up 2/1 or above will not WIN for sure , if odds shown in here for horse A is 2/1 or above but opens EVEN money or less is SURE winner
C : odds for horse A is shown EVEN money , opens up EVEN money , no movement , is stable , look for second horse , if shows same thing , look for third horse , believe me you may find some interesting thing to BANG ON , in such scenario go for PLACE , as third horse will be at least EVEN money for place
D : The most important GOLDEN RULE - out of the gates the very next movement you encash your first ticket , DO NOT CHASE !!!
RACE NO 1 -- THE GENERAL ANDERS PLATE Div. II 1000 Mts 2.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 46.(Class IV)
2. QUEENS TOUCH -- 6/1
3. SHE’S SWEET -- 5.5
6. CHINGLISH -- 18/10
7. SUN FLAG -- 4.5
9. INVISIBLE BREATHE -- 6/1
10. GOTHENBERG -- 3/1
Comments -- QUEENS TOUCH ran good in its last race , now entrusted to work jockey , no track work noticed , intentions are negative but if reproduces like what he ran in last race can fluke it even in this dud hands , SHE'S SWEET runs in and out , moving nicely on track with the same jockey , CHINGLISH ran a good race to finish close 4th in the hands of a work jockey , now entrusted to stable jockey , no track work noticed , should be the one to be beaten , SUN FLAG can now look to improve further after its last victory with the same jockey , is moving nicely on the track , INVISIBLE BREATHE lost as hot fav in its last race where she broke a blood vessel , tracking easy , will be a herculean task for her to win in this company , GOTHENBERG is getting good saddle support , is beating class iii animal on track , at bottom of the scales cam make them all run ,
BET -- close call between ( CHINGLISH / GOTHENBERG , latter is my preferred one )
RACE NO 2 -- THE FRENCH SUITOR PLATE 1600 Mts 3.15 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 1 to 26. (Class V)
1. MY SOUL -- 90/100
4. KALA GHORA -- 4/1
6. BLACK LEON -- 8/1
7. FIRE ON ICE -- 3.5
8. SADAJIT -- 6/1
Comments -- MY SOUL has been brought down a lot , entrusted to better jockey , tracks are not so good , at low odds can be a risky bet , KALA GHORA should strike soon , tracking good with the same jockey , Trainer could have opted for a better hand ? FIRE ON ICE showed some fire in its last race ran for the distance first time with the same jockey who is riding today , finished close second , tracking impressively with him , SADAJIT gets a work jockey now after its dismissal run in last race , intentions are negative , ALL WEATHER GOLD ran good to finish second to too good MISTER BEST , no track work noticed , rider repeated , can place at longer odds
BET - FIRE ON ICE
RACE NO 3 -- THE GENTLE SPY PLATE 1400 Mts 3.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40 to 66.(Class III)
1. LIKE MY CHILD -- 3.25
2. BLUE STEEL -- 5/1
3. SHARPSHOCK -- 5.5
4. THE MAFIA -- 16/10
9. FLORI DE CAMA -- 3.5
Comments -- LIKE MY CHILD going in for a hattrick for the same distance , has won races warding off and will look to improve further , has been penalized heavily , can she defy the penalty and give another rousing performance , is on track , SHARPSHOCK runs in and out , cannot be trusted , THE MAFIA just managed to win its last run , now promoted to class iii , tracking easy , rider repeated , keep an eye on odds , if on job will be backed by this betting stable
BET -- THE MAFIA
RACE NO 4 -- THE A.B.STUD FILLIES TRIAL STAKES 1400 Mts 4.15 P.M
For Indian Fillies 3 years old only (Foaled in 2012)
3. BRAMHAPUTRI -- 50/100
4. LADY -- 18/10
5. SEA CLIFF -- 6/1
7. WHIFF OF GOLD -- 7/1
BET -- LADY
RACE NO 5 -- THE ROYAL CALCUTTA TURF CLUB CUP 1000 Mts 4.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 80 & above.(Class I)
3. FOREST RANGER -- 4.5
4. ORBIT -- 16/10
5. NURAY -- 2/1
7. MINI COOPER -- 7/1
8. MALE SUPERIOR -- 5.5
BET -- ORBIT
RACE NO 6 -- THE GENERAL ANDERS PLATE Div. I 1000 Mts 5.15 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 46.(Class IV)
3. CASINO QUEEN -- 4.5
10. LIONHEARTED LADY -- 12/10
11. SWEET GIRL -- 2.5
BET -- SWEET GIRL
BEST OF LUCK AND GOD BLESS US ALL
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