MUMBAI WORKING ODDS AND ANALYZES SUNDAY 15 MAR 2015

Hello guys 

My working on probable opening odds as per the horse value per race ( the percentage of its winning chances converted into the value it can fetch ) keep an eye on horses which show movement in odds

RACE NO 1 -- THE MEMORIES OF YOU PLATE 1200 Mts 2.45 P.M

A Handicap for Horses Rated 01-26. (Class-V)

A race for handicapped horses in bottom of the class , DAZZLING DANCER is made to run at the end of the season , looks like a setback case , IN MY LIFE ( 3.75 ) lost her race by shortest of the margin , has same rider repeated , tracked , many must be fancying her chances but i tend to ignore her because she broke a blood vessel in her last race ran ,  CHLOBUD ( 3.5 ) failed fav in her last race , got double interference , one at start and again at bend also she lugged in the straight , had a rookie on saddle now entrusted to better jockey , tracking hands down , is the one to be beaten , DIA ( 14/10) came running from back stretch of the field to finish on board , has got jockey repeated ,will be fancied to deliver ,  MUMBAI KING ( 6/1 ) can place again on its last run , has allowance claiming jockey , ROCKING ( 6/1 ) has one win from 27 starts , stable jockey called back , is improving with each run , should not go down easily 

BET -- ROCKING 

RACE NO 2 -- THE EXHILARATION DOUBLE STAKES 1800 Mts 3.15 P.M

A Handicap for Horses Rated 80 & upward. (Class-I) 

(60 to 79 eligible.)

COMMANDER  (4.5 ) surprised all by winning a class i race beating JANIS JAY , than ran in a term race with ZACHARY , is top rated , LAURITA ( 16/10) running in class i after couple of runs in black type races , has been prepared nicely , the filly has shown tremendous potentials , tracked by the same jockey ,  LA FEMME FLEUR ( 12/10 ) has 4 wins from 6 starts , the mare is viewing for a hattrick with better saddle support , short on preparations , facing true class i company , a little difficult , is at bottom of the scales , 

BET --  LAURITA  

RACE NO 3 -- THE P R MEHTA TROPHY 2400 Mts 3.45 P.M

A Handicap for Horses Rated 40-66. (Class-III) 

(20 to 39 eligible )

2. ELLIPSIS ( 60/100) ran close 3rd to ACE FANTASY in a 2000 mt class iii race , now 400 mt more to travel , jockey changed , tracked , a front line contender who i think is asked beyond limit to deliver , 

3. SNOWING ( 18/10) going from 1800 mt to 2400 mt , i prefer to ignore , 

5. MARCOS ( 6/1 ) ran second to ZAZOU for the same distance , jockey repeated , tracked , the trainer is known to well place his wards in an handicap race to get good odds 

BET -- MARCOS 

RACE NO 4 -- THE FORBES BREEDERS’ JUVENILE FILLIES’ CHAMPIONSHIP

(GRADE 3) 1600 Mts 4.15 P.M /

For Indian Fillies 3 years old only 

Foreign Jockeys Eligible

1. AGELESS                   -- 3.5
2. ETERNAL FLAME     -- 90/100

4. BAY OF SECRETS     -- 3.75

6. SACRED FIRE            -- 6/1

can a 3 year old give weight to another good type 3 year old ? no not many times and has been proved in past too , so i tend to ignore top two who are on a winning spree and touted as the next best thing , going from a sprint distance to a mile is not that easy as it looks on paper , BAY OF SECRETS looks short by preparation , so it leaves me only SACRED FIRE and i will take a chance for sure  

BET -- SACRED FIRE 

RACE NO 5 -- THE J RUSTOMJI SOPARIVALA TROPHY Div. I 1000 Mts 4.45 P.M

For Maiden Indian Horses 3 years old only.

1. BARYSHNIKOV              -- 6/1

2. ITSCARO                       -- 3.75

4. PHOENIX KNIGHT        -- EVEN 

8. MALEFICENT               -- 3.5

10. RAIN DANCE               - 4.5

BET -- MALEFICENT 





RACE NO 6 --THE SHAPOORJI PALLONJI BREEDERS’ JUVENILE COLTS’
CHAMPIONSHIP (GRADE 3) 1600 Mts 5.15 P.M / For Indian Colts and Geldings 3 years old only
Foreign Jockeys Eligible 

1. OXFORD OPINION      -- 40/100
2. BULLRUN                   -- 8/1
3. DESERT GOD             -- 3/1
4. JEFFERSON               -- 7/1
5. MOGADISHU              -- 6/1

BET -- 5. MOGADISHU




RACE NO 7 -- THE J RUSTOMJI SOPARIVALA TROPHY Div. II
1000 Mts 5.45 P.M / For Maiden Indian Horses 3 years old only.

1. PHOENIX FIRE                      -- 8/1
7. BUBBLY BELLIN                   -- 3/1
10. HORSE POWER                    -- 3.75
11. SHINING MELODY               -- 60/100


BET -- HORSE POWER 





RACE NO 8 -- THE RACING WORLD TROPHY 1400 Mts 6.15 P.M
A Handicap for Horses Rated 20-46. (Class-IV)
3. APACHE                                -- 18/10 7. MELINDA                              -- 2/1 8. STAYING ALIVE                    -- 6/1 11. REMARKABLES                  -- 7/1 12. KOMANDANT                     -- 5.5

BET -- 7. MELINDA 


BEST OF LUCK AND GOD BLESS US ALL