Hello guys
My working on probable opening odds as per the horse value per race ( the percentage of its winning chances converted into the value it can fetch )
Keep an eye on horses which show movements in odds at actual betting time , odds given in here are approx value a horse should fetch , points to remember :
A : horses which are not in odds in here but open up in odds at betting time get PLACED for sure ,
B : horses which show double the difference in odds should be considered accordingly , suppose odds shown for horse A in here is EVEN money but opens up 2/1 or above will not WIN for sure , if odds shown in here for horse A is 2/1 or above but opens EVEN money or less is SURE winner
C : odds for horse A is shown EVEN money , opens up EVEN money , no movement , is stable , look for second horse , if shows same thing , look for third horse , believe me you may find some interesting thing to BANG ON , in such scenario go for PLACE , as third horse will be at least EVEN money for place
D : The most important GOLDEN RULE - out of the gates the very next movement you encash your first ticket , DO NOT CHASE !!!
RACE NO 1 -- THE WAR CRY PLATE 1100 Mts 2.15 P.M
For Maiden Indian Horses 3 years old only
1. BIG NEWS -- 7/1
2.GABBAR -- 5.5
5. AL KEFI -- 8/1
6. ASHWA GARIMA -- 3.5
7. CAUSE A MENACE -- 7/1
10.GHUNGROO -- 5.5
11. JUST NICE -- 60/100
Comments -- BIG NEWS is on track with the same rider who is pathetic , watch him for run for next time ,GABBAR place may be fancied by many but does not have anything to look at , ASHWA GARIMA ran good to finish 4th to too good SPEED DEMON , has been tracked ,can now look to improve further , Trainer SARTAJ has 4 entries and of them i like FIKAR NOT to run a bold race despite saddle support not good , GHUNGROO ran to finish 4th to too good LADY in its last race , rider retained and is beating class iii animal on the track , will fight hard , JUST NICE debut run , blazing the track with class iii animal , has service of ace rider of the centre though the filly has credentials i ignore her due to low odds and debut run
BET -- GHUNGROO
RACE NO 2 -- THE COMMON KNOWLEDGE PLATE Div. I 1100 Mts 2.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40 to 66.(Class III
2. SANG BLEU -- 5.5
3. MASTER STROKE -- 16/10
5. BHITSKI -- 4/1
11. TARANTINO -- 90/100
NO 7 / 8 == 8/1 and above
Comments -- SANG BLUE is being systematically run to bring down the rating , watch out his run for next race with better jockey on board , MASTER STROKE showed some form in its last two races ran and is improving with each race , tracked , same jockey retained , will fight hard , AL SAHAIL was a runaway winner in its last race , penalized , good on track with the same jockey who is riding today but i think the jockey is more of a work type , intent is not positive , BHITSKI has been waited too long , has better credentials , blazing the tracks with the same jockey , TARANTINO penalized and promoted after winning in class iv , jockey changed , is on track , at bottom of the scales will try to runaway
BET -- BHITSKI
RACE NO 3 -- THE COMMON KNOWLEDGE PLATE Div. II 1100 Mts 3.15 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40 to 66.(Class III)
2. YALAMLAM -- 5.5
3. SHARPSHOCK -- 3/1
5. WHIZ -- 70/100
7. SWEET SOPHIA -- 4/1
NO 8 / 9 / 10 == 8/1 and above
Comments -- AMAZING MASTER is getting a drop in distance and change in saddle support , no track work noticed , has potentials to figure on board , YALAMLAM after its dubious run where the jockey was fined for travelling wide throughout for no apparent reason looks now set to redeem its lost race , good on track with same jockey , SHARPSHOCK ran a DHT third to THE MAFIA in race no 193 just a day before , check race time announcement , is getting a drop down in distance with same rider , should be hard , WHIZ won back to back two races , in for a hattrick with the same rider , moving nicely and retaining form on track , should be the one to be beaten
BET -- YALAMLAM
RACE NO 4 -- THE HARDINVAST PLATE 1400 Mts 3.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 46.(Class IV)
2. ROCKY -- 6/1
4. INTO MISCHIEF -- 14/10
6. GOLDEN -- 14/10
7. JAZBA -- 3.75
NO 8 / 10 = 8/1 and above
Comments -- ROCKY has been running in and out for long , has taken lot of money down the drain , ran easy third to stable mate , change in shoes , change in jockey , is a suspicious case ,
INTO MISCHIEF made a late challenge from wide to finish second just by a nk , tracking with the same jockey who is riding today , should amend , GOLDEN won easily for the same distance in bottom class with the same jockey and is by tracked him , the field as per me was of medicore type , should be little difficult in here , JAZBA was due for a win and managed it its last run beating KHALA GHORA , KHALA GHORA i think is a good type but entrusted to weak jockey , JAZBA is on track with the same jockey , has potential to improve further , MASTER BOND is getting up in distance and is good on track , can try to place at longer odds in this open field
BET -- INTO MISCHIEF
RACE NO 5 -- THE MUKTESHWAR STUD COLTS TRIAL STAKES
1400 Mts 4.15 P.M / For Indian Colts & Geldings 3 years old only (Foaled in 2012)
4. IWIS -- 7/1
5. LET THE LION ROAR -- 50/100
8. SEA MOON -- 3/1
9. SPEED DEMON -- 5.5
11. TATANKA -- 4/1
BET -- IWIS
RACE NO 6 -- THE POET’S DREAM PLATE Div. I 1000 Mts 4.45 P.M A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 1 to 26. (Class V)
3. BLUE HORSE -- 7/1
4. CHEPETZUHA -- 2/1
5. GORGONZA -- 16/10
7. JUZI -- 5.5
8. RAJ TILAK -- 4/1
9. MORNING DEVOTION -- 7/1
BET -- 12. ASHWA CHETAK
RACE NO 7 -- THE POET’S DREAM PLATE Div. II 1000 Mts 5.15 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 1 to 26. (Class V)
2. NIZBATI PRINCE -- 3.75
4. RIOS QUEEN -- 2.25
7. THREE TRIPPLE ONE -- 7/1
8. GULMARG -- 14/10
NO 10/ 13 /14 === 8/1 and above
BET - 14. STAY GOLD
BEST OF LUCK AND GOD BLESS US ALL
My working on probable opening odds as per the horse value per race ( the percentage of its winning chances converted into the value it can fetch )
Keep an eye on horses which show movements in odds at actual betting time , odds given in here are approx value a horse should fetch , points to remember :
A : horses which are not in odds in here but open up in odds at betting time get PLACED for sure ,
B : horses which show double the difference in odds should be considered accordingly , suppose odds shown for horse A in here is EVEN money but opens up 2/1 or above will not WIN for sure , if odds shown in here for horse A is 2/1 or above but opens EVEN money or less is SURE winner
C : odds for horse A is shown EVEN money , opens up EVEN money , no movement , is stable , look for second horse , if shows same thing , look for third horse , believe me you may find some interesting thing to BANG ON , in such scenario go for PLACE , as third horse will be at least EVEN money for place
D : The most important GOLDEN RULE - out of the gates the very next movement you encash your first ticket , DO NOT CHASE !!!
RACE NO 1 -- THE WAR CRY PLATE 1100 Mts 2.15 P.M
For Maiden Indian Horses 3 years old only
1. BIG NEWS -- 7/1
2.GABBAR -- 5.5
5. AL KEFI -- 8/1
6. ASHWA GARIMA -- 3.5
7. CAUSE A MENACE -- 7/1
10.GHUNGROO -- 5.5
11. JUST NICE -- 60/100
Comments -- BIG NEWS is on track with the same rider who is pathetic , watch him for run for next time ,GABBAR place may be fancied by many but does not have anything to look at , ASHWA GARIMA ran good to finish 4th to too good SPEED DEMON , has been tracked ,can now look to improve further , Trainer SARTAJ has 4 entries and of them i like FIKAR NOT to run a bold race despite saddle support not good , GHUNGROO ran to finish 4th to too good LADY in its last race , rider retained and is beating class iii animal on the track , will fight hard , JUST NICE debut run , blazing the track with class iii animal , has service of ace rider of the centre though the filly has credentials i ignore her due to low odds and debut run
BET -- GHUNGROO
RACE NO 2 -- THE COMMON KNOWLEDGE PLATE Div. I 1100 Mts 2.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40 to 66.(Class III
2. SANG BLEU -- 5.5
3. MASTER STROKE -- 16/10
5. BHITSKI -- 4/1
11. TARANTINO -- 90/100
NO 7 / 8 == 8/1 and above
Comments -- SANG BLUE is being systematically run to bring down the rating , watch out his run for next race with better jockey on board , MASTER STROKE showed some form in its last two races ran and is improving with each race , tracked , same jockey retained , will fight hard , AL SAHAIL was a runaway winner in its last race , penalized , good on track with the same jockey who is riding today but i think the jockey is more of a work type , intent is not positive , BHITSKI has been waited too long , has better credentials , blazing the tracks with the same jockey , TARANTINO penalized and promoted after winning in class iv , jockey changed , is on track , at bottom of the scales will try to runaway
BET -- BHITSKI
RACE NO 3 -- THE COMMON KNOWLEDGE PLATE Div. II 1100 Mts 3.15 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40 to 66.(Class III)
2. YALAMLAM -- 5.5
3. SHARPSHOCK -- 3/1
5. WHIZ -- 70/100
7. SWEET SOPHIA -- 4/1
NO 8 / 9 / 10 == 8/1 and above
Comments -- AMAZING MASTER is getting a drop in distance and change in saddle support , no track work noticed , has potentials to figure on board , YALAMLAM after its dubious run where the jockey was fined for travelling wide throughout for no apparent reason looks now set to redeem its lost race , good on track with same jockey , SHARPSHOCK ran a DHT third to THE MAFIA in race no 193 just a day before , check race time announcement , is getting a drop down in distance with same rider , should be hard , WHIZ won back to back two races , in for a hattrick with the same rider , moving nicely and retaining form on track , should be the one to be beaten
BET -- YALAMLAM
RACE NO 4 -- THE HARDINVAST PLATE 1400 Mts 3.45 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 20 to 46.(Class IV)
2. ROCKY -- 6/1
4. INTO MISCHIEF -- 14/10
6. GOLDEN -- 14/10
7. JAZBA -- 3.75
NO 8 / 10 = 8/1 and above
Comments -- ROCKY has been running in and out for long , has taken lot of money down the drain , ran easy third to stable mate , change in shoes , change in jockey , is a suspicious case ,
INTO MISCHIEF made a late challenge from wide to finish second just by a nk , tracking with the same jockey who is riding today , should amend , GOLDEN won easily for the same distance in bottom class with the same jockey and is by tracked him , the field as per me was of medicore type , should be little difficult in here , JAZBA was due for a win and managed it its last run beating KHALA GHORA , KHALA GHORA i think is a good type but entrusted to weak jockey , JAZBA is on track with the same jockey , has potential to improve further , MASTER BOND is getting up in distance and is good on track , can try to place at longer odds in this open field
BET -- INTO MISCHIEF
RACE NO 5 -- THE MUKTESHWAR STUD COLTS TRIAL STAKES
1400 Mts 4.15 P.M / For Indian Colts & Geldings 3 years old only (Foaled in 2012)
4. IWIS -- 7/1
5. LET THE LION ROAR -- 50/100
8. SEA MOON -- 3/1
9. SPEED DEMON -- 5.5
11. TATANKA -- 4/1
BET -- IWIS
RACE NO 6 -- THE POET’S DREAM PLATE Div. I 1000 Mts 4.45 P.M A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 1 to 26. (Class V)
3. BLUE HORSE -- 7/1
4. CHEPETZUHA -- 2/1
5. GORGONZA -- 16/10
7. JUZI -- 5.5
8. RAJ TILAK -- 4/1
9. MORNING DEVOTION -- 7/1
BET -- 12. ASHWA CHETAK
RACE NO 7 -- THE POET’S DREAM PLATE Div. II 1000 Mts 5.15 P.M
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 1 to 26. (Class V)
2. NIZBATI PRINCE -- 3.75
4. RIOS QUEEN -- 2.25
7. THREE TRIPPLE ONE -- 7/1
8. GULMARG -- 14/10
NO 10/ 13 /14 === 8/1 and above
BET - 14. STAY GOLD
BEST OF LUCK AND GOD BLESS US ALL
No comments:
Post a Comment